How a Developing Bottoming Pattern in MDA (MDA.TO) Delivered a 33.6% Move Using a Systematic Approach

Note:
The examples and setups featured in this article are not presented as precise entry or exit points, nor are they intended to suggest that anyone could have captured the exact bottom or top. Rather, they are meant to highlight the potential of the move based on the data we provide. Our focus is on identifying asymmetrical opportunities—where even capturing a portion of the move can be highly meaningful. As with George Soros’s famous short of the British pound—where the full potential was $3 billion, but only $1 billion was realized—the value lies in recognizing the setup, not perfection. Our institutional clients understand this well: they use our signals as a foundation and apply their own strategies to extract what fits their model. Success often comes from capturing the meat of the move, not chasing extremes.

Disclaimer:
SetYourStop.com does not tell anyone what to buy or sell. We are a research company. The data we publish highlights signals of potential momentum or positioning that appear on our radar through daily monitoring of price action, volume, and institutional activity. These examples are meant to demonstrate how the data helps surface potential opportunities—not to suggest specific trades or outcomes. It is up to each individual to decide how they want to use the information. Our institutional clients value this work because we do the homework—they take the data, run it through their own models and strategies, and determine what fits. We present the research—what happens next is up to the end user.


 

Revisiting MDA: From Prior Breakout to a New Bottoming Structure

This is the second time MDA has played out through our research.

Earlier, we documented an initial breakout and trend-following phase that ultimately delivered a 55% move, illustrating how strength often begins to develop before headlines and broader attention follow. That first case study focused on the transition from base to trend and how the system flagged the move early.

To review that initial analysis and see how the first breakout phase unfolded, you can read the original article here:
Trend Following With an Edge: Why the Move Always Starts Before the Headlines — MDA Gains 55%

What follows below is the continuation of that story—how MDA once again surfaced through SYS Research as a developing bottoming structure, ultimately resolving higher through a clearly defined, step-by-step process.


 

How the Bottoming Structure Developed

Rather than appearing as a single, obvious signal, this move unfolded through a series of monitored conditions, each reinforcing the broader setup. This is how sustainable moves typically develop in practice.


 

SYS Research – Canadian Daily Setups

Monday, December 22, 2025

MDA re-entered our watchlist as the broader space theme began gaining momentum in the U.S. At the time, price action remained below a clearly defined horizontal resistance level, and the focus was on monitoring whether structure could begin improving.

Price at the time: 27.17

Chart Used in SYS Research:
MDA – Daily Chart (Initial Resistance and Bottoming Structure Identified)


 

SYS Research – Canadian Daily Setups

Thursday, January 8, 2026

By early January, MDA began pushing above the horizontal resistance line previously highlighted. Attention shifted to whether the moving averages could support further progress toward the next resistance zone.

At this stage, the setup was still developing, but the structure had clearly improved.

Chart Used in SYS Research:
MDA – Daily Chart (Initial Resistance Break and Structure Improvement)



 

SYS Research – Weekend Report

Saturday, January 10, 2026

Follow-through held into the weekend. MDA continued to act constructively, consolidating above prior resistance rather than failing back into the range. This behavior suggested that the bottoming structure remained intact.

Chart Used in SYS Research:
MDA – Daily Chart (Former Resistance Holding as Support)



 

SYS Research – Canadian Daily Setups

Monday, January 12, 2026

As the new week began, MDA was now challenging the next horizontal resistance level that had been mapped on the chart. Price compressed into resistance, setting the stage for a potential resolution higher if structure continued to hold.

Chart Used in SYS Research:
MDA – Daily Chart (Pre-Breakout Compression Phase)



 

SYS Research – Weekend Report

Saturday, January 17, 2026

By mid-January, MDA resolved higher. Price action broke out from the pattern that had been monitored since it first began moving above the $27 level, confirming the developing bottoming structure.

Price context: Day high of 36.31

Chart Used in SYS Research:
MDA – Daily Chart (Confirmed Breakout From Bottoming Pattern)



 

Quantifying the Move

From the initial watchlist signal at $27.17 on December 22 to the $36.31 intraday high reached during the January 17 weekend report, MDA delivered a 33.6% move as the structure resolved higher.

The significance is not the exact percentage—it’s that the move developed through clearly identifiable stages, rather than appearing suddenly after the fact.


 

Why This Matters

This case study highlights how effective setups rarely emerge in isolation. Instead, they tend to evolve through:

  • Clearly defined horizontal levels

  • Improvement in structure over time

  • Former resistance transitioning into support

  • Compression preceding resolution

MDA remained on the radar because the structure continued to improve—not because of a single headline or one-day move.


 

For Readers Looking for Similar Setups

Examples like MDA illustrate how SYS Research tracks developing bottoming and continuation patterns before they become obvious in hindsight. Our Daily Setups and Weekend Reports focus on surfacing these evolving conditions in real time—while price is still working through structure, not after the move has already played out.

If you found this article useful, subscribing provides ongoing access to similar developing setups as they emerge across the market.

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