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SYS Daily Report
Markets Absorb Middle East Shock as Energy Surges and Equities Show Selective Resilience
Macro Overview
A sharp escalation in the Middle East sent Crude Oil, gasoline, and bond yields higher while driving a firm advance in the US Dollar. Energy markets registered their strongest advance in years, European liquefied natural gas spiked, and average US gasoline prices moved back above a key psychological level. At the same time, US Treasury yields climbed across the curve, reflecting renewed inflation pressure as crude strengthened. The US Dollar staged its strongest advance in months, reclaiming its traditional safe-haven role during periods of global stress.
US manufacturing activity continued to expand, while factory-level inflation pressures firmed. Canadian manufacturing data also improved, underscoring steady industrial activity despite geopolitical volatility. Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak in the coming sessions, with markets assessing how persistent energy strength could influence policy expectations.
The 10-Year US Treasury Yield pushed higher in a decisive move, reflecting a clear upward shift in rates during the session. The advance reinforces a short-term momentum shift in yields, with price action pressing into recent resistance levels.
10-Year US Treasury Yield – Daily Chart
The US Dollar strengthened broadly, producing its most forceful rally in several months. The move signals a clear return to defensive positioning in currency markets amid intensified global volatility.
US Dollar – Daily Chart
Breadth & Major Index Charts
Market breadth reflected a split tone. Global equities weakened across Asia and Europe, while US markets recovered from early selling pressure and finished mixed. Participation improved in select growth and defense segments even as travel and rate-sensitive groups lagged.
The Red-Light/Green-Light Breadth System reflected selective improvement, with strength concentrated in technology, industrials, energy, and defense-related groups, while consumer discretionary and travel stocks weakened.
The S&P 500 rebounded from early weakness and closed marginally higher, marking a notable intraday recovery. Price action continues to hold above key intermediate moving averages, suggesting a constructive technical posture despite volatility.
S&P 500 – Daily Chart
The Nasdaq outperformed, supported by renewed interest in large-cap technology. The index rebounded from intraday pressure and extended its recovery from recent lows, indicating relative strength within growth sectors.
Nasdaq – Daily Chart
The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished slightly lower after recovering from deeper losses earlier in the session. The index remains range-bound, with cyclical and industrial components offsetting weakness in select consumer names.
Dow Jones Industrial Average – Daily Chart
The Russell 2000 (ETF) showed notable resilience, finishing firmly higher. Small-cap participation suggests that risk appetite was not fully abandoned despite elevated uncertainty.
Russell 2000 (ETF) – Daily Chart
TSX Recap
Canada’s TSX advanced to a record close, driven primarily by strength in energy shares. The index benefited from its heavy resource weighting as Crude Oil surged. Financials and industrials added support, while technology softened modestly. The materials sector remained mixed, reflecting divergent performance across metals.
Cameco Corp. (CCO.TO) rallied strongly following a uranium supply agreement with India, reinforcing the nuclear energy theme. Energy Fuels (EFR.TO) and other uranium-exposed names remain positioned within constructive technical setups, aligning with broader energy security interests.
The TSX continued to trend higher, pushing to fresh highs. The technical structure remains firm as energy leadership sustains upward momentum.
TSX – Daily Chart
Digital Assets Overview
Digital assets displayed resilience amid cross-asset volatility. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana advanced alongside traditional risk assets despite strength in the US Dollar and rising yields, underscoring selective strength in the space.
Bitcoin – Daily Chart
Ethereum – Daily Chart
Solana – Daily Chart
Commodity Watch
Commodities dominated the macro narrative. Crude Oil surged on supply disruption concerns, while European liquefied natural gas recorded a historic move higher. Gasoline prices followed crude upward, reinforcing inflation visibility. Gold strengthened modestly, while Silver diverged lower. Copper softened as broader risk sentiment wavered. Uranium-linked equities advanced alongside renewed interest in nuclear energy.
Crude Oil posted a powerful advance and now trends firmly higher on the daily timeframe. The move places price action above recent consolidation levels.
Crude Oil – Weekly Chart
Copper drifted lower, reflecting relative softness within industrial metals despite broader commodity volatility.
Copper – Daily Chart
Gold edged higher, maintaining a steady technical posture and holding above key moving averages with bullish option activity appearing at the end of the day.
Gold – Daily Chart
Silver weakened, diverging from gold and reflecting short-term volatility within precious metals.
Silver – Daily Chart
The uranium theme strengthened as the Global X Uranium ETF advanced, supported by policy developments and energy security headlines.
Uranium Theme – Global X Uranium ETF
Sector & Thematic Movers
Energy and defense emerged as clear leaders. Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and Valero Energy (VLO) advanced sharply, aligning with the surge in Crude Oil. Exxon Mobil (XOM) also participated, reinforcing strength within integrated energy names.
Defense shares strengthened, with Northrop Grumman (NOC) and BWX Technologies (BWXT) benefiting from heightened geopolitical tension. iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) extended its breakout from a prior consolidation structure.
Large-cap technology regained footing. NVIDIA (NVDA) reversed early losses and rallied strongly, while Microsoft (MSFT) moved higher, reflecting renewed sponsorship in established leaders.
Travel and leisure names lagged. Delta Air Lines (DAL), United Airlines (UAL), Carnival (CCL), and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) weakened as energy costs climbed.
Stock Movers
Cameco Corp. (CCO.to) stood out in Canada on uranium supply developments. Marathon Petroleum (MPC) and Northrop Grumman (NOC) gained firm ground in the United States. NVIDIA (NVDA) and Microsoft (MSFT) led large-cap technology.
AES Corp. (AES) declined sharply following a takeover agreement at a discount to prior trading levels. Credo Technology (CRDO) and MongoDB (MDB) weakened after earnings, extending pressure in select growth software names.
MP Materials (MP) remained in focus following bullish options activity and a potential continuation structure. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Apple (AAPL) held constructive technical setups amid renewed call activity.
Options & Insider Flow
Institutional options activity leaned bullish in several large-cap names. Intuit (INTU), Newmont (NEM), Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) saw notable call buying. Microsoft (MSFT) and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) reflected significant put selling, suggesting confidence in price stability above key levels.
Energy and materials themes also appeared in options flow, with SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM), and MP Materials (MP) attracting bullish positioning.
On the insider front, SoFi Technologies (SOFI) registered a meaningful insider purchase, while several executives across large caps such as Netflix (NFLX), Chevron (CVX), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), and PepsiCo (PEP) reported sales activity.
Small-Cap Spotlight
The Russell 2000 showed strength relative to early global weakness. Rocket Lab (RKLB) and AirSculpt Technologies (AIRS) saw notable call activity, indicating speculative participation. Small-cap breadth improved as the session progressed, reinforcing the view that risk appetite remained selective rather than broadly defensive.
Conclusion
The session reflected a complex crosscurrent of forces. Crude Oil surged, US Treasury yields climbed, and the US Dollar strengthened in response to geopolitical escalation. Yet US equities demonstrated resilience, with leadership concentrated in energy, defense, and select technology names. Canada’s TSX reached new highs on resource strength, while digital assets advanced alongside traditional risk markets.
Market structure now hinges on the persistence of energy momentum and the response of yields. Breadth improved into the close, suggesting that volatility has not yet disrupted the underlying technical posture of major indexes. The coming sessions will test whether leadership in energy and defense can sustain momentum while broader participation stabilizes.
“Managing risk begins with knowing exactly where you will get out.” — Paul Tudor Jones
Now, onto the daily setups.
US Daily Setups
AA – Alcoa Corp.
Alcoa continues to set up in the form of a potential bullish pennant continuation pattern. Monitor for any potential break signals that could indicate continuation.
BWXT – BWX Technologies, Inc.
BWX Technologies appears to be setting up on the right side of a multiple-month base. Monitor for continued strength that may lead to a breakout.
GLD – SPDR Gold Shares
The SPDR Gold Shares ETF experienced bullish option activity at the end of the day, as noted in our unusual activity report. Monitor for continuation signals to determine whether the move can extend.
GSIT – GSI Technology Inc.
GSI Technology could be worth keeping on a watchlist as price action pushes up against horizontal resistance. Monitor for any potential break signals that may indicate continuation.
ITA – iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
The iShares Aerospace & Defense ETF is now starting to break out from the pattern highlighted in the weekend report. Monitor for sustained follow-through to confirm the move can extend.
MP – MP Materials Corp.
MP Materials is experiencing bullish option activity as price action sets up for a potential multiple-month flag continuation pattern breakout. Monitor for sustained strength to determine whether the move can extend.
MPC – Marathon Petroleum Corp.
Marathon Petroleum is setting up for a potential 52-week high breakout. Monitor for a decisive move through that level to confirm continuation.
MSFT – Microsoft Corp.
Microsoft could be worth keeping on a watchlist for potential trading opportunities. Monitor to see if price action can begin to reclaim its moving averages.
PL – Planet Labs PBC
Planet Labs is consolidating in the form of a potential continuation pattern. Monitor for any potential break signals that could indicate continuation.
UAMY – U S Antimony Corp.
U.S. Antimony is now attempting to break out from the recently highlighted pattern. Monitor for sustained follow-through to confirm the move can extend.
UUUU – Energy Fuels Inc.
Energy Fuels continues to set up on the right side of a continuation pattern. Monitor for continued strength that may lead to a breakout.
VELO – Velo3D Inc.
Velo3D is pushing against horizontal resistance. Monitor for any potential break signals that may indicate a directional move.
VLO – Valero Energy Corp
Valero Energy is attempting to break out from a consolidation area. Monitor for sustained follow-through to confirm the move can extend.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/XydsTgNT
Canadian Daily Setups
CCO.TO – Cameco Corp.
Cameco is now attempting to break out from the recently highlighted pattern. Monitor for sustained follow-through to confirm the move can extend.
EFR.TO – Energy Fuels, Inc.
Energy Fuels continues to set up on the right side of a continuation pattern. Monitor for continued strength that may lead to a breakout.
HG.CA – Hydrograph Clean Power Inc.
Hydrograph Clean Power is the gift that keeps on giving, rising another 22% today and now up more than 100% from our initial signal. Monitor for continued strength as the advance extends.
LGO.TO – Largo Resources Ltd.
Largo Resources continues to show upside momentum on higher-than-normal volume. Monitor for sustained follow-through to determine whether the move can extend.
MOLY.TO – Greenland Resources Inc.
Greenland Resources is attempting to break out from a continuation pattern. This setup was highlighted earlier in the day within the Slack workspace as momentum began to emerge. Monitor for sustained follow-through to confirm the move can extend.
PNG.V – Kraken Robotics Inc.
Kraken Robotics continues to position itself at recent highs. Monitor for continued signs of strength, which may signal a breakout.
TA.TO – TransAlta Corp.
TransAlta appears to be setting up below horizontal resistance. Monitor for any potential break signals that may indicate a directional move.
To conclude our report, we thank you for your engagement and insights. Your feedback is valuable, and we encourage you to share your recommendations. Stay attentive to the Daily Setups, the Workspace, and the Watchlists for emerging opportunities. Additionally, be sure to explore the scanner result PDFs provided below. Until next time, happy trading!
US Scanner Results
(Stocks are sorted to highlight those with the strongest momentum at the time of the scan)
Click on the CandleGlance chart to view it in full size. Find a chart that matches your criteria or interests. You can easily save it to your watchlist on StockCharts.com for further analysis and tracking, or copy and paste the ticker list into your chart provider.
TMDE, ASTH, ALMU, CGEN, AXTI, AAOI, BMM, MGN, LASR, UAMY, VIAV, AEHR, RCUS, VG, CCCC, RCAT, VNTG, VELO, COHR, CRCL, POET, LPTH, SEDG, BKSY, INDO, LWLG, RFIL, RXT, WTI, ALM, AGCC, LMRI, NTLA, LITE, SRTS, POM, TSEM, FIGS, SITM, DBVT, FSLY, HYMC, PBF, SEV, ALTO, ALTG, USAR, LGO, USLM, ASTS, CXDO, DHX, UUUU, PL, AIRO, LUNR, ENLT, GILT, SGHT, TRX, HYLN, TOYO, KEN, NATL, FEIM, PRTA, TTMI, MP, LEE, KOPN, AMPX, PARR, PKE, ESLT, SPAI, GHRS, GTE, RDNT, ASYS, WOLF, EQNR, NEXA, TUSK, GHM, AMKBY, DHC, REI, DWSN, NOK, CLF, VECO, VPG, ETON, PESI, IBRX, UAN, SMTC, AREC, NYAX, BE, CIA, BTU, NG, CRML, OCGN, FN, ELTX, GSIT, USO, BETR, ERAS, ISSC, GYRE, PDYN, CCJ, DGXX, RLMD, LXRX, NOC, TSAT, INFU, WEX, ATLX, ONDS, NWPX, DIOD, KRMN, LNG, OWLT, EQ, VET, MRAM, TRVI, DCO, LSCC, VOYG, TALO, MTDR, RYZ, PLX, VTRS, DKL, WRBY, ABOS, BWXT, MUR, VLO, PEPG, GLW, TEN, AGRO, MOD, GFS, PTEN, DRS, POWI, BCAX, ACLS, CDZI, REPYY, CF, ANRO, RCEL, FSTR, OPY, ABX, RTX, CSTM, NOVT, NHC, NN, RDNW, CHRD, DNN, NERV, CRC, WDS, KYIV, EYPT, LION, FLOC, FRO, GEVO, APA, AUGO, HNRG, STLD, EE, HLIO, MPTI, KMDA, AURA, EFXT, COP, KGS, MTSI, TSQ, UCTT, URG, PBR, AROC, UI, UMAC, IRD, WWD, DMLP, NXE, AVIR, SILC, OKE, TG, NAT, MEOH, AII, CURX, FLEX, ILPT, VICR, ECPG, OFLX, AVNW, GANX, LHX, VABK, ARCB, PSX, PUMP, CDRE, GLNG, ROG, RAIL, FET, CW, KALU, DELL, DGII, ASND, EOG, CINF, KYTX, SHIP, ACRE, IMMX, CYBN, ACNT, NGL, AAON, INNV, HRTG, PNRG, AIN, DYN, KNSA, AZO, INR, LMT, MFIN, IDCC, UVE, REMX, BAESY, UTI, YANG, CPAC, EBR/B, RES, BGC, DVN, FLNG, CNA, CODA, HE, AA, LCNB, ORIC, INGM, VIRT, VSAT, AP, CGEM, MUSA, TTAN, COHU, KNTK, BOH, ATEN, PBR/A, PROK, OVV, TIGO, MATX, ESE, HPE, DAKT, EMO, CTRA, CRGY, KOS, NC, SGHC, AMPY, ASTE, ALDX, HLIT, SRZN, FRAF, PKOH, COFS, ITA, FANG, PBT, GNL, LXU, VIR, AVTX, BDSX, BWLP, PR, RPRX, SATS, DSX, IPGP, FSS, TRMD, LTRX, USCB, CRS, MGY, IDYA, PDS, VBNK, MEC, DLNG, CVE, LFUS, TARS, SNEX, LDOS, USAS, CAMT, KEX, SLS, CACI, NLOP, EZPW, WT, NIC, SFL, TWLO, PTGX, FCEL, MOG/A, SNFCA, MLR, ENTG, SB, BXMT, GPRK, RMT, BTX, SBLK, TALK, PBA, XME, PALI, SHO, TMQ, VNOM, XPO, FCFS, SU, AIR, GNRC, MRCY, MTG, AMG, CVS, HXL, TATT, WCC, CME, MTZ, ICHR, GD, MTRN, GIC, GSM, LGND, ANDE, NVMI, OXY, BBUC, CLBK, REPX, PLOW, SII, ZURA, AGI, KRMD, PAA, GCMG, HESM, KOD, NUE, EPD, BRSP, HCSG, HII, CP, TXT, WMB, MOLN, AAMI, ASC, ELA, EPM, XLE, SOBO, VIST, EUO, SNDX, COKE, L, SRV, UTHR, BAND, DAR, RUSHA, ADCT, CMRE, NPK, RXO, KEYS, WBI, AM, KPTI, PAGP, BAP, CR, DTM, JRVR, KMI, LNTH, ARLP, IRM, LYB, OVID, HON, KAI, KMT, PSMT, SAR, TER, FTI, IVVD, BHP, SKYT, TYG, CQP, LPG, MINE, TMC, TR, VVX, ATI, SHECY, AIZ, IMKTA, VMD, BGR, FHI, ODC, CNO, GRC, PWR, ROAD, SNDA, AVR, ARWR, GGT, GNK, OBE, TSBK, BIP, LINC, UROY, FF, RLJ, RPID, TRGP, YCS, ATMU, NVT, KRP, GLTO, OFRM, BFLY, KN, TBN, BP, ESEA, USAC, LCTX, RBC, RSVR, GTN, ATNI, ELDN, GPRE, NXG, AOMR, CVX, PGC, RNR, RGLD, PEO, TKR, CURB, ENTA, EPRX, WELL, AEIS, ISOU, RRC, TTC, CIEN, FFTY, RNGR, ACT, ECO, FBRX, GAU, IESC, FHTX, TPL, MRVI, WSBF, GGN, LBRT, SSSS, CNTN, ET, SPH, EXPO, PHYS, STNE, BSTZ, IIPR, NUKZ, RGR, CHCT, CRUS, WLK, CNQ, MYRG, ACHV, CCK, CRNT, VVV, HLX, RUSHB, CLH, GLD, IMO, ALSN, CAT, GLPG, INSW, NGS, AHR, WPM, OSK, RDN, DAN, EG, LQDT, NOG, OACC, TRN, INFL, NE, MUJ, TMDX, BRX, GEF/B, KR, MFA, HZO, SWBI, EGY, MITK, REGN, SGU, WBD, HIG, GUT, OTIS, ROK, AXS, GLRE, SNA, XOM, CSX, TRP, VRT, MCRI, STRL, CNK, MCY, TDY, UHT, ADAM, CCBG, NVGS, KRUS, UFCS, CHRW, EXR, HUBB, HAFN, OII, GBX, CHT, GE, MSEX, NOA, PML, FCA, RSI
Canadian Scanner Results
(Stocks are sorted to highlight those with the strongest momentum at the time of the scan)
Click on the CandleGlance chart to view it in full size. Find a chart that matches your criteria or interests. You can easily save it to your watchlist on StockCharts.com for further analysis and tracking, or copy and paste the ticker list into your chart provider.
EXPORT – Canadian Scanner Results
AE.V, PMI.V, PGDC.V, RYO.V, HG.CA, MOON.V, ASCU.TO, QIMC.CA, QTZ.CA, MSM.CA, MERG.V, AXCP.CA, RM.TO, ORC/B.V, ETL.V, SPAI.CA, AUMB.V, DMET.NE, AII.TO, NRC.V, SAG.V, BPAG.V, ZNG.V, KTN.V, EFR.TO, XAU.TO, LGO.TO, MDP.TO, HMMC.V, TRX.TO, PNG.V, ECU.V, GLAD.V, AUXX.V, MOLY.TO, FWZ.V, GTE.TO, OMG.V, RCK.V, WVM.V, CAPT.V, NG.TO, ELO.TO, CCO.TO, FTT.TO, LTC.V, BYN.V, MDA.TO, KEI.TO, NAU.V, ESI.TO, VET.TO, ACM.CA, GMX.TO, FEC.TO, ROCK.V, NFG.V, RTX.NE, TSAT.TO, AEC.V, ATMY.CA, RED.CA, DML.TO, PHOS.CA, MSCL.TO, PSI.TO, IPCO.TO, JOY.TO, KCP.V, SOIL.TO, DBG.V, HAM.V, JUGR.V, RAY.TO, MX.TO, EFX.TO, NXE.TO, LUNR.V, BU.TO, PCU.V, TMQ.TO, VNP.TO, IPO.TO, OGN.V, CGY.TO, U/UN.TO, PDN.TO, BDT.TO, AU.V, KUYA.CA, HME.V, TLO.TO, ARE.TO, ORV.TO, RBY.TO, NCX.V, U/U.TO, OVV.TO, FIH/U.TO, BDGI.TO, TWM.TO, LMT.TO, ASTL.TO, ATS.TO, HAI.TO, SICO.V, HSLV.TO, ANDC.V, PM.CA, PSD.TO, CBK.CA, FDY.TO, PD.TO, MARI.TO, MMA.V, ONAU.V, ASE.V, MKA.V, QBR/B.TO, FEO.V, RCI/B.TO, GAU.TO, PXT.TO, CVE.TO, ACX.TO, SES.TO, SWP.TO, ALCU.CA, BNE.TO, PPL.TO, STCU.CA, RUS.TO, WEF.TO, SU.TO, URE.TO, HWX.TO, GFL.TO, BCM.V, EMPR.V, ITH.TO, BBUC.TO, USA.TO, GTWO.TO, STLR.TO, SLI.V, SXGC.TO, CP.TO, AGI.TO, SOBO.TO, X.TO, NOM.CA, QTWO.V, SCOT.V, SII.TO, SVI.TO, VBNK.TO, TVE.TO, BEI/UN.TO, TNZ.TO, PSK.TO, TPZ.TO, AKT/A.TO, EPRX.TO, MAI.V, ALS.TO, ISO.TO, WPM.TO, OBE.TO, BIP/UN.TO, ENS.TO, KCC.V, FVL.TO, LIF.TO, OXY.NE, ARA.TO, ATRL.TO, PHYS.TO, SGY.TO, EMP/A.TO, ENB.TO, WDO.TO, IMO.TO, URC.TO, PRQ.TO, MGM.V, TOT.TO, WGX.TO, TRP.TO, CNQ.TO, GEI.TO, GMIN.TO, CERT.V, BEPC.TO, JAG.TO, MTA.V, POU.TO, AMRQ.V, ANRG.TO, CIA.TO, PRU.TO, SCR.TO, ELF.TO, LCX.V, BMO.TO, CHEV.NE, LAC.TO, GOLD.TO, HLF.TO, MAL.TO, NNRG.NE, PPTA.TO, XOM.NE, NOA.TO, ATH.TO, TD.TO, CDR.TO, KEY.TO, PALS.V, MDI.TO, TIH.TO, GUD.TO, OR.TO, AUAU.V, CNR.TO, NTR.TO, ACO/X.TO, BRC.V, KNT.TO, GQC.V, RCH.TO, GGO.V, WCN.TO, MRU.TO, OGW.V, WN.TO, KEL.TO, TA.TO, CTC/A.TO, AEM.TO, AFCC.V, SLS.TO, ALA.TO, LNR.TO, PPP.V, DOL.TO, ERD.TO, NWH/UN.TO, PHX.TO, WCP.TO, CM.TO, TCL/A.TO, WTE.TO, ALK.TO, COP/UN.TO, OLA.TO, BTE.TO, NFLX.NE, NFLX.TO, QSR.TO, DPM.TO, MG.TO
