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SYS Daily Report – Weekend Edition
Market Braces for More Data After Volatile but Stabilizing Week
U.S. equity markets ended a turbulent week with modest gains, attempting to stabilize after weeks of selling pressure. While Big Tech continued to stumble, value-oriented and small-cap stocks helped to balance the broader indexes. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, including renewed tariff concerns and mixed central bank signals, markets found support from dovish commentary by the Federal Reserve and President Donald Trump’s softer tone on trade.
For the week ending Friday, March 21, 2025, the S&P 500 rose 0.5% to close at 5,667.56, the Nasdaq Composite inched up 0.2% to 17,784.05, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 1.2% to 41,985.35. This marks the first weekly gain for both the S&P and Nasdaq in over a month. However, the lack of a definitive follow-through session means markets remain in a fragile rally attempt, with technical resistance levels still in play.
Investors will be closely watching this week’s slate of economic releases—particularly consumer confidence, durable goods orders, personal spending, and PCE inflation—for clarity on whether the market’s relief bounce can extend or whether recession concerns will resurface. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) closed lower at 19.28, suggesting a calmer surface, though underlying market turbulence remains.
The Red-Light/Green-Light Breadth System
Market breadth was mixed at the close on Friday, March 21, 2025. Despite index gains, decliners outpaced advancers on both the NYSE and Nasdaq, revealing a lack of broad participation beneath the surface. Quadruple witching—the simultaneous expiration of stock options, index options, single-stock futures, and index futures—boosted overall volume, but didn’t translate to strong upside momentum. The NYSE advance/decline ratio and the Nasdaq’s negative breadth highlight that many stocks sat out Friday’s rally. This undercurrent of weakness signals that the rally attempt remains tentative, and stronger participation across sectors will be needed to confirm a more durable uptrend.
S&P 500 – Daily Chart
The S&P 500 closed Friday at 5,667.56, up 0.08% for the day and 0.5% for the week. The index broke a four-week losing streak, thanks in part to Friday’s intraday reversal following Trump’s comments about tariff “flexibility.” Despite the bounce, the index remains below key resistance and is still down 3.6% year-to-date. Investors are awaiting a follow-through session to confirm the recent rally attempt while closely monitoring economic data that could support a move higher.
Nasdaq – Daily Chart
The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.52% on Friday to close at 17,784.05, ending the week up 0.2% and snapping its four-week losing streak. However, the index continues to underperform its peers and remains down 7.9% in 2025. Mega-cap tech stocks, including Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Tesla, continue to weigh heavily, with the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) finishing the week down 0.7% but closing higher on Friday with many of the MAG 7 names potentially setting up for a rebound.
Dow Jones Industrial Average – Daily Chart
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Friday at 41,985.35, up 0.08% for the session and posting a 1.2% weekly gain. The index has been resilient relative to the S&P and Nasdaq, finishing just under its 200-day moving average. Strength in industrial and financial components helped lift the Dow, with Boeing gaining 3.1% on Friday.
Russell 2000 (ETF) – Daily Chart
The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) ended Friday lower by 0.62%, closing at $203.79, though it rose 0.7% on the week. Small-cap value stocks showed signs of life, but the ETF remains technically vulnerable. The 50-day moving average is on the verge of crossing below the 200-day moving average—commonly referred to as a death cross—which could signal continued weakness if not reversed.
10-Year US Treasury Yield
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.25% on Friday, March 21, 2025, ticking slightly higher from the previous session. The move reflected a modest shift in bond market sentiment amid ongoing uncertainty around inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
US Dollar – Weekly Chart
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remained relatively stable, trading in a tight range as investors weighed soft inflation data against rising geopolitical risk. While expectations of Fed rate cuts have capped the upside, global demand for safety continues to support the dollar’s base.
Crude Oil – Weekly Chart
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose 0.31% on Friday to close at $68.28 per barrel. Oil managed a small gain for the week, snapping a multi-week losing streak and avoiding another—a streak last seen in 2015. Traders remain focused on demand signals out of China and potential OPEC+ moves.
TSX – Daily Chart
The TSX Composite Index closed Friday at 24,968.49, down 0.4% on the day. However, it notched a 1.7% weekly gain—its largest since November—driven by strength in technology and optimism surrounding the government’s decision to cancel a proposed hike to the capital gains inclusion rate. Losses in materials, industrials, and weaker retail sales data kept enthusiasm in check. Canada remains particularly exposed to U.S. trade policy and commodity price swings, making it vulnerable in a policy-driven environment.
Copper – Weekly Chart
Copper prices closed near their second-highest level on record, buoyed by expectations of Chinese stimulus and improving global manufacturing data. The metal remains a bellwether for global economic growth and may extend gains if infrastructure demand ramps up.
Gold – Daily Chart
Gold surged past $3,000 per ounce on Thursday before settling at $3020.92 on Friday—its highest weekly close on record. The metal is up 39% year-over-year, driven by central bank buying, stagflation fears, and geopolitical instability. A tightening gold supply has only added fuel to its rally.
Silver – Daily Chart
Silver slipped 1.6% on Friday to close at $33.02 per ounce. While lagging gold, silver remains fundamentally supported by its dual role as an industrial and monetary metal. Volatility may persist, but demand outlooks tied to clean energy and electronics remain bullish.
Uranium Theme – Global X Uranium ETF
The Global X Uranium ETF (URA) declined 1.5% on Friday to end the week at $25.00 following an earlier rebound from support, with mining stocks potentially setting up as featured throughout the week in the Daily setups. The long-term case for uranium remains intact as nuclear power gains global political and economic support. However, near-term performance continues to track commodity and geopolitical news.
Bitcoin – Weekly Chart
Bitcoin (BTC) climbed past $85,000, posting a rebound after several choppy sessions. Lower Treasury yields and improving risk appetite sparked buying interest. The cryptocurrency remains volatile but has shown signs of forming a technical base at the 200-day or 40-week moving average as institutional participation grows.
The past week offered a reprieve from heavy selling, but it wasn’t a robust confirmation of a new uptrend. Investors are clearly weighing macro risks—tariffs, inflation, and the Fed’s path—against pockets of relative strength in certain equities and commodities. As markets await a key set of economic data in the coming week, from consumer confidence to PCE inflation, the prevailing tone remains one of caution. Breadth needs to broaden, and follow-through sessions must materialize to validate any near-term bullish bias. For now, selective exposure and disciplined watchlist building remain prudent strategies.
“Trading doesn’t just reveal your character, it also builds it if you stay in the game long enough.” – Yvan Byeajee
Stay tuned and stay prepared. Now, onto the daily setups.
US Daily Setups
ALAB – Astera Labs Inc.
Astera Labs continues to position itself just below a horizontal resistance line, which could also be considered a potential trigger level. Monitor for a breakout attempt if buying interest increases.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/SjnyerUc
COMP – Compass Inc.
Compass is attempting to move higher from a continuation pattern. Monitor for sustained price action to confirm the move.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/KsSHnksI
GENI – Genius Sports Limited
Genius Sports continues to show upside momentum from the recently highlighted pattern, supported by robust volume. Monitor for follow-through to confirm the strength of the move.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/mCbGbUme
HNRG – Hallador Energy Co.
Hallador Energy is positioning itself just below its 52-week highs following several days of robust volume. Monitor for a potential breakout if the buying interest continues.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/sgkwxHFh
META – Meta Platforms, Inc.
Meta appears to be setting up off the 200-day moving average, with the PPO momentum indicator preparing for a potential bullish cross from a deeply oversold level. Monitor to see if support holds and whether upside momentum begins to build.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/fTKcurIw
MSTR – MicroStrategy Inc.
MicroStrategy continues to position itself along a horizontal resistance line. Monitor for a potential breakout if buying pressure persists.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/BhamWZiz
PRCH – Porch.com, Inc.
Porch.com appears to be setting up just below its 52-week high. Monitor for a potential breakout if bullish interest continues to build.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/hgxQtixr
TSLA – Tesla Inc.
Tesla continues to set up between horizontal support and resistance. Monitor for any potential breakout or breakdown signals that could define the next directional move.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/bJHUUdHW
Canadian Daily Setups
ARX.TO – ARC Resources Ltd.
ARC Resources is attempting a 52-week high breakout. Monitor for sustained price action above this level to confirm the move.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/fMKaBpkJ
L.TO – Loblaw Companies Ltd.
Loblaw appears to be positioning itself on the right side of a significant multi-month consolidation area. Monitor for a potential breakout if the setup continues to develop.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/CSqeVvKu
NDA.V – Neptune Digital Assets Corp.
Neptune Digital is now attempting to break out from the continuation pattern we have been highlighting. Monitor for follow-through to confirm the breakout.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/trqwPhFz
NTR.TO – Nutrien Ltd.
Nutrien continues to set up near the apex of a consolidation triangle. Monitor for a potential breakout as price action tightens around this key area.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/fTPZTTYh
OR.TO – Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd.
Osisko Gold Royalties appears to be positioning itself just below its 52-week high, situated on the right side of a multi-month base. Monitor for a potential breakout if buying pressure increases.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/FDIgaXFp
ZOMD.V – Zoomd Technologies Ltd.
Zoomd Technologies is positioning itself just below its 52-week high. Monitor for a potential breakout if bullish interest continues to build.
LINK TO CHART – https://schrts.co/FDIgaXFp
To conclude our report, we thank you for your engagement and insights. Your feedback is valuable, and we encourage you to share your recommendations. Stay attentive to the Daily Setups, the Workspace, and the Watchlists for emerging opportunities. Additionally, be sure to explore the PDFs of Friday’s scan results provided below. Until next time, happy trading!
US Scanner Results
(Stocks are sorted to highlight those with the strongest momentum at the time of the scan)
Click on the CandleGlance chart to view it in full size. Find a chart that matches your criteria or interests. You can easily save it to your watchlist on StockCharts.com for further analysis and tracking or copy and paste the ticker list into your chart provider.
EXPORT – US Watchlist Scan – 2025-03-22
SNWV, NUTX, ADPT, WGS, XYF, XERS, DEFTF, PRCH, ROOT, CPRX, GENI, DOCU, COMP, GH, GOSS, EZPW, TGTX, MFG, ALHC, TGS, LX, TG, VIAV, TENX, TDS, FNMA, VEON, ALKS, UBER, LUV, MDGL, TTWO, ASND, HNRG, OLLI, OR, DVAX, INSM, AUPH, BJ, NAGE, ARQT, SONY, MELI, PAYC, HALO, AKRO, RGLD, BMY, USM, GSHD, KR, NFLX, AZO, NMR, SPOT, VRSN, PTCT, T, XYLO, WBD, BANX, VRNA, ZS, NTNX, FOX, RPRX, XNET, NC, TDY, FINV, CRMD, DRI, LBRDA, AXSM, CRK, VEEV, HSBC, UNM, LFT, CHTR, DB, EQH, ERJ, ADT, CKPT, K, ATAT, ALTR, LBRDK, WDOFF, RDVT, DTE, TARS, AM, GE, RBA, SRAD, AGI, CIB
Canadian Scanner Results
(Stocks are sorted to highlight those with the strongest momentum at the time of the scan)
Click on the CandleGlance chart to view it in full size. Find a chart that matches your criteria or interests. You can easily save it to your watchlist on StockCharts.com for further analysis and tracking or copy and paste the ticker list into your chart provider.
EXPORT – Canadian Scanner Results – 2025-03-22
NDM.TO, BLM.V, TMQ.TO, AII.TO, HAN.V, ASCU.TO, UCU.V, CNL.TO, MCB.TO, GTWO.TO, PNG.V, TVK.TO, LUG.TO, OR.TO, AIAI.CA, MEND.CA, CXB.TO, IAG.TO, HSLV.CA, L.TO, ARX.TO, HBFG.CA, VEGN.CA, EMA.TO, NFLX.NE, RBA.TO, PEY.TO, FNV.TO, SES.TO, EXE.TO, ALA.TO, PMEI/UN.TO, QBR/B.TO, ARTG.V, HLF.TO, FM.TO, MR/UN.TO, DPM.TO, AD/UN.TO, AGI.TO, WDO.TO, EDV.TO, MRU.TO, IFC.TO
